Minor-Dish
0x34ab33da0f9576174aef6996ebae64b7d759f1db
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$70.1K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$63.26
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
2966 shares @ 93.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$2.9K
$86.54
- YES
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
3306 shares @ 86.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.8K
$-89.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?
2751 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.5K
$41.26
- YES
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?
2456 shares @ 88.7¢·now 96.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.4K
$181.33
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?
2508 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.3K
$87.78
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
2255 shares @ 90.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.2K
$130.21
- YES
Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?
2161 shares @ 88.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.1K
$193.72
- YES
Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?
2159 shares @ 93.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.1K
$72.59
- YES
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?
2031 shares @ 91.3¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.0K
$138.33
- YES
Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?
1994 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.0K
$69.73
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$68.60Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$29.40Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$97.99Jul 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?$0.74Jul 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?$675.35Jul 24, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?$284.27Jul 24, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,200 koz?$152.77Jul 23, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$10.38Jul 23, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?$703.59Jul 23, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee?$981.72Jul 23, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amir Hassan be the MI-08 Republican nominee?$361.09Jul 23, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emily Berge be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?$196.35Jul 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Cooke be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?$432.29Jul 23, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elijah Norton be the Arizona State Treasurer Republican nominee?$30.92Jul 22, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Cooke be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?$56.52Jul 22, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?$96.15Jul 22, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?$38.69Jul 22, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Nez be the AZ-02 Democratic nominee?$89.32Jul 22, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$81.63Jul 22, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$594.88Jul 22, 06:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $153.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.