Exhausted-Croissant
0x34b78791f9cb41f00c188ced1394d9abe982963a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$-3.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25275 shares @ 24.3¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.0K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
10786 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?
4500 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-957.98
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Warriors
2911 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?
2000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1695 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
750 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-199.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.44Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
$6.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $205.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.