Sandy-Wife
0x34d0f35dee283bb7272f59220818007a6af4264e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-673.29
Realised
$48.90
Win rate
50%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$952.49
$9.32
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
300 shares @ 67.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$296.83
$94.27
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
165 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$163.78
$3.18
- NO
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$99.18
$5.39
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$97.35
$11.35
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
100 shares @ 76.9¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$82.70
$5.78
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
85 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$80.49
$-1.01
- NO
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
50 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$49.70
$0.68
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
40 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.22
$0.10
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
40 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$35.20
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$20.90Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$90.29Jul 29, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$5.75Jul 29, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$123.26Jul 29, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$17.28Jul 29, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$53.25Jul 29, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$19.92Jul 29, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$0.83Jul 29, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$40.00Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$6.10Jul 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$11.64Jul 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$39.42Jul 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$49.58Jul 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$17.57Jul 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$12.99Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.05Jul 28, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 28, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$14.63Jul 28, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$39.00Jul 28, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$49.53Jul 28, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $53.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.