Corny-Hyphenation
0x34dbc406881a24b82f4b138e09169d9a004b1b63
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$726.39
Realised
$108.00
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?
4182 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$23.37
- NO
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
2095 shares @ 76.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$454.78
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
2403 shares @ 72.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$182.12
- YES
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
1016 shares @ 93.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$992.71
$43.30
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
1354 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$913.92
$60.46
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?
709 shares @ 87.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$630.65
$8.95
- YES
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
407 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$327.89
$-5.95
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
1659 shares @ 20.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$132.76
$-207.55
- NO
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?
112 shares @ 51.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$96.59
$39.36
- NO
Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
48 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.80
$1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?$0.34Jun 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?$0.45Jun 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?$1.39Jun 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?$4.77Jun 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?$60.24Jun 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$4.42Jun 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?$0.38Jun 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?$3.65Jun 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?$2.57Jun 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?$23.05Jun 28, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?$69.31Jun 28, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 85 mph?$3.13Jun 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 85 mph?$6.25Jun 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$31.13Jun 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$3.50Jun 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?$0.18Jun 28, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?$0.09Jun 28, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?$4.78Jun 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?$868.30Jun 28, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$33.99Jun 28, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $72.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.