Defiant-Warning
0x34e6dae75bf8d90f004333331a69e06c4509cd63
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$66.6K
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$421.27
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
56392 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.0K
$27.8K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7000 shares @ 84.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.1K
$-1.8K
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2500 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.6K
$25.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 17.2¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-300.96
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22058 shares @ 2.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$613.67
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$993.49
$173.50
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$938.00
$48.00
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
56392 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$366.55
$-27.8K
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.33
$1.33
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.59
$0.59
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.26Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$5.25Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.25Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.26Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.25Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.25Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$5.26Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.27Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.27Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$5.27Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$5.27Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.98Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$6.49Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.50May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.50May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.50May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.50May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$6.51May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.51May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.52May 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.