Clear-Dollar
0x34eaa915aecc3076b0b3c8719abc687366ed3955
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$190.89
Total PnL
$-89.85
Realised
$6.00
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
696 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.23
$-59.19
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
158 shares @ 22.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.01
$-8.96
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
25 shares @ 80.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$19.63
$-0.49
- YES
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
185 shares @ 18.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.70
$-19.27
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.80
$5.00
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.34
$4.29
- YES
OKX IPO in 2026?
159 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.53
$-5.57
- NO
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.59
$0.11
- IMPERIAL
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.00
$2.64
- NO
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
5 shares @ 89.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$4.98
$0.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage$6.00Jul 28, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs$3.65Jul 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)$3.08Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs$3.43Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage$3.55Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.71Jul 28, 14:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$4.46Jul 27, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.95Jul 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.03Jul 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.09Jul 27, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$10.40Jul 27, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$9.81Jul 27, 12:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$10.05Jul 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?$2.40Jul 23, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.