0x34faf84317d2665d0dc51d56e26ba8888fae6013
0x34faf84317d2665d0dc51d56e26ba8888fae6013
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.01
Total PnL
$-52.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.87
$-4.13
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.34
$-4.66
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.21Jul 27, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees$5.26Jun 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees$6.72Jun 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees$5.24Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$6.06Jun 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?$0.79Jun 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?$10.59May 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$6.82May 10, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$5.09Apr 29, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$5.00Apr 3, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$5.00Mar 19, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$5.00Mar 2, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$5.00Mar 1, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.00Feb 15, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.02Feb 3, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.00Jan 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$10.00Jan 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?$10.00Jan 4, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$5.00Jan 3, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$23.26Jan 3, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $7.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.