Courageous-Dickey
0x3515f56dd3859b6ac3c76454169ef244f1c18e36
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$3.95
Total PnL
$-308.84
Realised
$-5.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
US bank failure by November 30?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.95
$0.95
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 550 and 599 times September 1–30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1347 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-36.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 649 times September 1–30?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
932 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?
625 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 650 and 699 times September 1–30?
579 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
394 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS bank failure by September 30?$5.43Nov 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$1.00Sep 16, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$1.00Sep 16, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$1.00Sep 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?$150.00Sep 16, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$2.00Sep 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$1.00Sep 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-29 tweets on September 15, 2025?$10.00Sep 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 750 and 799 times September 1–30?$3.00Sep 15, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 750 and 799 times September 1–30?$2.00Sep 15, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 800 and 849 times September 1–30?$3.00Sep 15, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 650 and 699 times September 1–30?$2.00Sep 15, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 700 and 749 times September 1–30?$1.00Sep 15, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 750 and 799 times September 1–30?$1.00Sep 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 800 and 849 times September 1–30?$1.00Sep 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 15, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-29 tweets on September 15, 2025?$5.00Sep 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$3.00Sep 15, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$2.00Sep 15, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$1.00Sep 15, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 23:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".