Courageous-Loincloth
0x352c7e329d47745d2e816201191aebf827af05d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.12
Total PnL
$-782.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.12
$-10.87
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4319 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-207.30
- NO
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
1954 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
973 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
875 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
387 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
199 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
177 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-76.08
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$213.22Jul 6, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$214.79Jul 6, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$20.00Jul 6, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$80.63Jul 6, 21:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $132.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.