Queasy-Fraudster
0x353e6c079ed899d5c836d6e4352de4793b2a9db2
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$517.08
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-838.23
Win rate
19%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?
229 shares @ 75.5¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$164.88
$-8.01
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
152 shares @ 55.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.56
$14.82
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 80.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.88
$3.74
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 74.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.77
$-25.78
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
128 shares @ 59.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.08
$-45.44
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.22
$-6.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 25.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.42
$9.67
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.50
$3.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 27.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.50
$-15.66
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
80 shares @ 52.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.40
$-29.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$16.00Jul 20, 14:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
43 closed markets, 19% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $56.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.