Subdued-Shallows
0x35424118678055c0bdb533b97ab0a35beef12e5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$63.79
Total PnL
$435.51
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
1%
101 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- UNDER
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$30.38
$10.03
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
233 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$-17.50
- UNDER
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
21 shares @ 65.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2026$12.14
$-1.70
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.43
$0.09
- OVER
Club ABB vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 2.5
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.18
$0.15
- YES
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.51
$-0.51
- YES
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
515 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.26
$-0.77
- YES
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
515 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.26
$-0.77
- YES
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
257 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.13
$-0.90
- YES
Will Joshua Vasquez be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
1029 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$1.92May 31, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5$2.24May 31, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5$4.08May 31, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.32May 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$2.40May 30, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5$2.72May 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5$6.02May 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.14May 30, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYShenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5$7.60May 30, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYChongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5$11.66May 30, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYChengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5$18.89May 30, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5$1.12May 30, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5$3.01May 30, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5$9.86May 30, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5$16.89May 30, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMSK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5$22.20May 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5$2.10May 29, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5$2.35May 29, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5$5.88May 29, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5$6.18May 29, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 101 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
101 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 101 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.