Dangerous-Score
0x354c037b70716fd810c6c7d97bc5662d63a2360c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
109
Open notional
$2.73
Total PnL
$-274.12
Realised
$-0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
696 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on June 27?
564 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
485 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
445 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.02Jul 27, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00Jul 27, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$10.21Jul 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?$1.04Jul 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$5.00Jul 26, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$5.01Jul 26, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.65Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$8.33Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.10Jul 17, 18:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$1.03Jul 15, 12:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.30Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 04:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.