Dangerous-Score
0x354c037b70716fd810c6c7d97bc5662d63a2360c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$118.47
Total PnL
$1.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
34 shares @ 29.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$33.52
$23.52
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$5.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.26Jun 18, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.23Jun 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.35Jun 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.34Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.29Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$4.65Jun 18, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Jun 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.07Jun 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.07Jun 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.07Jun 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYo1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.07Jun 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?$6.00Jun 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$1.00Jun 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.00Jun 18, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$5.08Jun 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$5.11Jun 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.02Jun 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$5.06Jun 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$6.14Jun 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$1.04Jun 18, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.