Second-Appeal
0x354d965d92d9b0f0d38f9e3af903ba1884d398f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$96.10
Total PnL
$-39.14
Realised
$15.97
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?
47 shares @ 27.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$47.35
$34.35
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
45 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$44.54
$38.75
- YES
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$4.21
$3.12
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
273 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-89.99
- NO
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SPURS
Nuggets vs. Spurs
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?
23 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
10 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$10.00Apr 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Spurs$10.00Apr 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$3.28Mar 10, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.00Mar 9, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$136.62Mar 9, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.79Mar 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$5.79Mar 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?$2.51Mar 4, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$2.50Mar 4, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$5.57Mar 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$4.93Mar 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$0.64Mar 4, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$118.67Mar 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$11.34Mar 3, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?$13.00Mar 3, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$24.34Mar 3, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$24.65Mar 3, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$24.65Feb 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$2.99Feb 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$5.00Feb 8, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $21.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.