Irritating-Belief
0x354e40897a7d1c513761e99d41c75a6a10e0ca44
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$54.24
Total PnL
$-63.78
Realised
$-1.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
60 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$39.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1997 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Warsh say "China" during swearing-in?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
64 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- ALEX DE MINAUR
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul
32 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.12Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.12Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$58.24Jun 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$40.40Jun 10, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$5.06Jun 10, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$5.09Jun 10, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$5.11Jun 10, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$60.74Jun 10, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$64.10Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "China" during swearing-in?$2.08May 22, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul$25.16May 22, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti$11.92May 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$2.08May 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.12May 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.12May 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$5.13May 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$6.53May 22, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$7.19May 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$5.06May 22, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti$15.15May 22, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $28.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.