Regal-Ninja
0x3550a6417c1873a2365aa1998396c14b3d45166f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.97
Realised
$6.94
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 25?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.70 December 22-28?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 29?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 The American Express tournament?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 27?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C or below on January 26?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 December 22-28?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$0.20Feb 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Player 91 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.14Feb 4, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Player 952 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.27Feb 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Player 31 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.18Jan 29, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Player 148 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.19Jan 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$0.60Jan 29, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 26?$0.04Jan 26, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 26?$0.01Jan 26, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$0.50Jan 26, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 19-25?$0.50Jan 26, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in January?$0.50Jan 26, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 148 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.01Jan 26, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 26?$0.50Jan 26, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?$0.50Jan 26, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 26?$0.01Jan 26, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k?$0.50Jan 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?$0.50Jan 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?$0.50Jan 26, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be less than 75k?$0.50Jan 26, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $110 January 19-25?$0.30Jan 26, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.