Dismal-Reservation
0x35553703d0e2d35326a3ff55ea75136c69650d4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$32.74
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$23.62
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.81
$1.11
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.20
$0.60
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.45
$0.15
- YES
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
40 shares @ 14.4¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.40
$-1.35
- YES
Will Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?
480 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.88
$-111.32
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1100 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-840.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 28?
520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 27?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?
400 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?$7.34Jul 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?$3.66Jul 15, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$17.19Jul 14, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$3.00Jul 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$0.32Jul 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$1.88Jul 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 11?$1.98Jul 11, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 11?$2.00Jul 11, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$7.97Jul 10, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$8.70Jul 10, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$9.52Jul 10, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$16.40Jul 10, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$10.55Jul 10, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 9?$16.85Jul 9, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 9?$3.40Jul 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$13.60Jul 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 9?$1.06Jul 9, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 9?$0.83Jul 9, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 9?$1.62Jul 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 9?$0.34Jul 9, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.