Concrete-Trick
0x3560136b9d94ca6b01498ac4f7ae7f1152e56db7
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$619.24
Total PnL
$9.56
Realised
$2.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
485 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$474.09
$4.25
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$82.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 47.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.99
$5.82
- NO
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.61
$-0.02
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$37.0521h ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$37.1321h ago
- YIELD$0.0121h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$106.2822h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$70.1523h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.251d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$6.171d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.781d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.301d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$7.601d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.645d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$40.325d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$0.895d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$21.285d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$24.005d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $60.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 33d ago
- Last active
- 21h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
