Suburban-Airbag
0x356ae846fbabf4c9406074a5d8956585403c4d34
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$85.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$161.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
4580 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-82.00
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
1741 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
961 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-549.56
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
852 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-74.94
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
844 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-44.72
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?
800 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-428.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
794 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
750 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$78.36Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$12.05Jul 18, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$186.91Jul 18, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$6.40Jul 18, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$26.15Jul 18, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$723.45Jul 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$202.74Jul 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$50.33Jul 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$99.12Jul 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$272.00Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$7.53Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$31.44Jul 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$77.72Jul 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?$40.00Jul 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$149.08Jul 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$81.08Jul 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$153.48Jul 9, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$5.15Jul 9, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$400.00Jul 9, 07:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $104.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.