Bumpy-Cloakroom
0x3576157c558d863520d6454752f1797245a6e553
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$834.38
Total PnL
$-39.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July?
55 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$55.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
56 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$54.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in July?
48 shares @ 97.8¢·now 95.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$46.05
$-0.94
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$45.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $184 in July?
46 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$45.74
$0.74
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$43.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by July 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in July?
37 shares @ 94.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$36.22
$1.22
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?
36 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$35.94
$0.94
- NO
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.6% or more in June?
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$29.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $37B?$23.08Jul 22, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas Instruments (TXN) Q2 Analog revenue be above $5B?$6.04Jul 22, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?$11.12Jul 22, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?$7.02Jul 21, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?$3.57Jul 21, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?$9.09Jul 21, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wintrust (WTFC) beat quarterly earnings?$5.54Jul 20, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMJacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30?$18.09Jul 17, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Airlines say "Passenger" 10+ times during earnings call?$5.00Jul 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Airlines say "Fuel" / "Oil" during earnings call?$6.25Jul 16, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?$2.54Jul 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$1.81Jul 14, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?$8.25Jul 14, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bank of America say "Subscriber" during earnings call?$8.51Jul 14, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill JPMorgan say "Risk" during earnings call?$19.53Jul 14, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?$8.58Jul 13, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$16.49Jul 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Airlines say "Passenger" 10+ times during earnings call?$4.50Jul 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?$0.92Jul 13, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 in July?$1.02Jul 12, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $10.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.