Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30?
Probability
28¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$129.26
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 28¢; -2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1565h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1564.5h
- 19:29SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1565h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 28¢.
Biggest hourly move: +8.0pp at 12:00 (to 32¢).
Show all 5 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · +3.5pp → 30¢
- 17:00 · +8.0pp → 34¢
- 15:00 · +4.0pp → 30¢
- 14:00 · +5.5pp → 30¢
- 12:00 · +8.0pp → 32¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation must come directly from Jacob Elordi or Kendall Jenner or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (23.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.