Shiny-Overcoat
0x357709a9d1fc8a23109276f3a4cc008e8adf7730
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$41.23
Total PnL
$-0.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.40
$0.20
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$2.88
$-0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$3.7511h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$5.001d ago
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$9.911d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$8.307d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$8.45126d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$33.20146d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$0.00177d ago
- REDEEMMegaquake by October 31?$5.23177d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?$4.05177d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$0.00177d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$0.00177d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$5.95177d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jesus" in October?$9.34177d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?$3.80177d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$2.00192d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by October 31?$5.00192d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00205d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golf" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00205d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Border" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00205d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golf" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00205d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 221d ago
- Last active
- 11h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".