Carefree-Bagel
0x35780d82ad91f8a9771f48391cb902f2fee1492c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$16.56
Total PnL
$-42.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
63 shares @ 80.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.56
$-33.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$539.41Dec 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$539.95Dec 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$539.95Dec 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$540.50Dec 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$50.00Nov 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$5.00Oct 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$3.00Sep 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?$1.00Jul 16, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 250–264 times June 20–27?$0.00Jul 12, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$0.00Jul 12, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$2.10Jun 25, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–264 times June 20–27?$1.00Jun 25, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBerachain airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMAleo airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $170 on November 1?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMJumper airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMFarcaster airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMRabby airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMMetaMask airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jun 25, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $76.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".