Threadbare-Yahoo
0x35a330290fdbfaacc21d197c9e16b5a9561b2a32
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$1.9K
Realised
$8.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
3506 shares @ 36.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$21.74
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
3417 shares @ 16.4¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$751.81
$193.04
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
27001 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
10000 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
8976 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
8097 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-399.73
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
4754 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-160.57
- YES
Will Jake Paul be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
2884 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.26
- YES
Will Travis Kelce be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
2841 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-65.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 10?
1563 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-53.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$175.64Jul 19, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$405.67Jul 19, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$2.02Jul 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$19.00Jul 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$57.00Jul 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$17.10Jul 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$178.75Jul 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$35.13Jul 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$11.10Jul 17, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$621.29Jul 17, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$11.08Jul 17, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$366.69Jul 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$80.00Apr 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$62.50Apr 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$65.00Apr 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$270.00Apr 23, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$135.00Apr 23, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 6, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$16.27Feb 23, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$109.15Feb 23, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $114.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.