Forked-Original
0x35a74ee18afdfbec19fd5db9305fc95c289744f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-45.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
94 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$92.67
$-0.33
- NO
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$71.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of July?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $170 end of July?
46 shares @ 98.9¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.91
$-2.09
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.94
$0.94
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
36 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$35.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Trump’s remarks not air?
36 shares @ 97.1¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.63
$-0.37
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by July 31?
35 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Natisha Brooks be the TN-06 Republican nominee?
34 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$34.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.88
$0.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?$9.09Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s remarks not air?$35.04Jul 28, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by more than 15%?$18.09Jul 28, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$12.16Jul 27, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?$10.13Jul 27, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zoe Saldaña appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$15.05Jul 27, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Calendar" during his next YouTube video?$12.24Jul 25, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$93.04Jul 24, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?$24.14Jul 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?$46.56Jul 24, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$22.03Jul 24, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose jobs in July?$30.05Jul 24, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natisha Brooks be the TN-06 Republican nominee?$33.04Jul 24, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?$16.04Jul 24, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $36.5B?$9.78Jul 24, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,400 koz?$11.11Jul 23, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$5.26Jul 23, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.34Jul 23, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.13Jul 23, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMThermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) <-2%?$5.00Jul 23, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $27.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.