Defenseless-Speed
0x35a8a03a475c636d4d28e7b831ea14f44708d0d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$25.88
Total PnL
$-382.02
Realised
$-19.45
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.75
$15.75
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.87
$-3.12
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$0.38
- YES
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
44 shares @ 4.6¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-1.13
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-1.61
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
1375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.03Jul 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.19Jul 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$3.04Jul 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$3.12Jun 26, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.05Jun 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.05Jun 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.04Jun 26, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2.66Jun 26, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.03Jun 26, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.04Jun 26, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.09Jun 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.05Jun 26, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.04Jun 26, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.36Jun 26, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.04Jun 26, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.