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BusinessExpires Dec 31, 2026

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Probability

17¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-9.5pp

24h Vol

$732.98

Liquidity

$3.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 10pp over 24h

    Now 17¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5987.2h

    LOW
  • 12:48Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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