Databricks IPO before 2027?
Probability
17¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-9.5pp
24h Vol
$732.98
Liquidity
$3.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 17¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $3.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5987.2h
- 12:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 18¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 17¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 17¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 18¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 18¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 17¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 17¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 17¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 17¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 17¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 17¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 18¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 20¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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