Impure-Raisin
0x35b27f47823ba30fb4c985379a02c0c747518abd
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$193.86
Total PnL
$-841.28
Realised
$83.62
Win rate
50%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
97 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$97.49
$1.75
- NO
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
35 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$34.96
$12.24
- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
34 shares @ 64.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.12
$9.59
- NO
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$15.70
$-0.10
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$4.49
$0.04
- YES
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.02
$1.48
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.95
$-1.05
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.04
- YES
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$1.17
$0.14
- YES
Celonis IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$10.91Feb 24, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$242.06Feb 24, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$1.96Feb 24, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?$0.57Feb 24, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$11.71Feb 24, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$2.68Feb 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$2.25Feb 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$6.95Feb 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?$8.23Feb 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$10.80Feb 23, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$6.90Feb 23, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viktor Orbán attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.22Feb 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?$13.80Feb 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$62.85Feb 23, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by February 28?$9.05Feb 23, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?$8.00Feb 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?$3.43Feb 23, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$26.33Feb 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$14.59Feb 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$311.82Feb 23, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.