Idealistic-Tomorrow
0x35c736c9b7b33457b18544abafd12179a2db60b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$29.85
Total PnL
$-67.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.96
$1.96
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in July?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.49
$-3.51
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
51 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
29 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-27.32
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $195?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.38
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $216 in November?
6 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in July?$10.17Jul 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$10.87Jun 30, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$5.11Jun 24, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.46Jun 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.27Jun 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$16.50Jun 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$10.17Jun 22, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$60.79Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$3.63Jun 12, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.14Jun 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.17Jun 3, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$20.35May 31, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.40May 31, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send the national guard to New York City by December 31?$5.33May 30, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$5.56May 30, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$7.25May 30, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$8.67May 30, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $190?$9.99May 30, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$10.00May 30, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$12.50May 30, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.