Private-Carport
0x35e4f89223ab2372477479016589226e0db45bbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$12.5K
Total PnL
$-17.7K
Realised
$-228.41
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
2000 shares @ 54.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.8K
$709.99
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$570.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
2036 shares @ 62.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$397.35
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2003 shares @ 73.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.5K
$50.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
2000 shares @ 47.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$140.00
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1000 shares @ 64.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$945.00
$300.00
- NO
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
2000 shares @ 39.0¢·now 46.7¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$932.99
$153.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1500 shares @ 65.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$907.50
$-67.50
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
84423 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$548.75
$-772.30
- YES
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
1000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$230.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$471.00Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$480.00Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.5KJul 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 27, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 27, 21:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.35Jul 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$26.50Jul 25, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$26.67Jul 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$26.47Jul 25, 05:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.28Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.36Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.11Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$1.00Jul 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$1.00Jul 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$1.00Jul 24, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$4.00Jul 24, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $129.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.