Sizzling-Housework
0x35f963ddbc7d1c88541f437b6e23a07101db52f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.44
Total PnL
$-46.72
Realised
$0.70
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.33
$0.22
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 19?
3150 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.45
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 13?
1080 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?
1077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?
1075 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 10?
1072 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 27?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?$11.55Aug 7, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?$11.52Aug 7, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 27 2026?$12.05Jul 31, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 27 2026?$12.02Jul 29, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$11.47Jul 24, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$11.44Jul 18, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$11.44Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$11.41Jul 9, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$2.09May 24, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?$2.14May 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$2.13May 9, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 2?$1.1KMay 3, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 30?$1.1KMay 1, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 30?$1.1KMay 1, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 30?$1.1KApr 30, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $203.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.