Lustrous-Tussle-Upward
0x35f9f31c2db1c199e1c0fb2babb37d3786bd12a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$170.09
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$12.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to Score
110 shares @ 61.5¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$75.89
$8.19
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
237 shares @ 12.8¢·now 25.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$60.36
$30.02
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
80 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.20
$-1.20
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.60
$0.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 12.9¢·now 26.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.06
$1.58
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
280 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.98
$-1.26
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
1459 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
- NO
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?
919 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- NO
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-07-25?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
163 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-51.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to Score$53.70Jul 29, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYQairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to Score$9.18Jul 29, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYQairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to Score$6.12Jul 29, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?$25.60Jul 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?$24.40Jul 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IFK Norrkoping FK win on 2026-07-28?$1.59Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$8.38Jul 28, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$1.06Jul 28, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$0.56Jul 28, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5$40.00Jul 27, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5$17.60Jul 27, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?$150.00Jul 26, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMCA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5$104.99Jul 26, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?$64.50Jul 26, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: GAIS (-1.5)$199.99Jul 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5$13.52Jul 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5$20.23Jul 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5$20.23Jul 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5$9.18Jul 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Krasnodar win on 2026-07-26?$24.03Jul 26, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $27.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.