Wide-Incense
0x35fb801f4bbbb2d51d5f8f8fa28081aef6d34ce5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.9K
Realised
$891.60
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
105773 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-105.77
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
9000 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-554.97
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
5000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
4000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
4000 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-410.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?
4000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-399.98
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
3000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-540.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
2906 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-621.11
- YES
Will Andorra win on 2025-11-17?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?$37.59Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.18Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$103.75Jul 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$528.75Jul 15, 09:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.81Jul 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?$13.63Jul 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$15.73Jul 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$405.00Jul 14, 13:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.76Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$30.30Jul 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.20Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$0.06Jul 11, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$215.00Jul 11, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $56.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.