Similar-Underweight
0x360f1dd1c70e42d8fb9e9bc89f15a4aa8e5bca28
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.21
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?
153 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?
137 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
133 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
128 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
112 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors$32.20Feb 10, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$0.04Jan 16, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$0.07Jan 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$0.13Nov 12, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?$0.10Nov 11, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?$0.15Nov 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.12Nov 3, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?$0.11Nov 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?$0.11Nov 2, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?$0.14Oct 31, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 29, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.15Oct 29, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$0.15Oct 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.10Oct 29, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vasile Tarlev win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?$0.11Oct 29, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200-224 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.14Oct 29, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 29, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Alabama Presidential Election?$0.07Oct 29, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?$0.12Oct 29, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.