Wet-Apology
0x360f2c97d06d235f47133c0f40dc4bdfbe618fdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.75
Total PnL
$-174.97
Realised
$-24.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 190 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
3713 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
703 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.13
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 190 and 204 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
180 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.15
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
150 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
110 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.35
- MAGIC
Magic vs. 76ers
52 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.61
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
35 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.24
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$30.00Jun 16, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.35Jun 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$31.65Jun 11, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$52.18Jun 11, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$35.00Jun 11, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$19.16Jun 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.45Jun 9, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$30.00Jun 9, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$15.22Jun 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$21.72Jun 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$15.30Jun 9, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$45.45Jun 6, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$15.30Jun 6, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$27.08Jun 6, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$13.20May 31, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder$3.53May 27, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$20.53May 27, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$15.22May 8, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Celtics$41.05May 8, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$10.11May 3, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $10.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.