Whirlwind-Recession
0x361a7c2886b2c0957374436fb0a8a62a310e9b39
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$210.67
Total PnL
$-140.33
Realised
$17.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?
111 shares @ 31.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$88.14
$53.14
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
199 shares @ 37.7¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$76.52
$1.52
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
59 shares @ 85.4¢·now 75.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$44.11
$-5.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?
158 shares @ 38.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.89
$-58.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 20?
259 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 20?
143 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
105 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?
39 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$36.20Jul 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$10.31Jul 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$0.74Jul 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$29.16Jul 22, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$10.31Jul 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$19.37Jul 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$8.33Jul 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$8.35Jul 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$7.33Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$25.70Jul 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$50.36Jul 22, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 21?$62.50Jul 22, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$20.81Jul 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?$10.31Jul 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?$51.55Jul 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$6.19Jul 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$5.15Jul 21, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 21?$124.43Jul 21, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$30.99Jul 21, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$51.55Jul 21, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $35.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.