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0x3637d0b7a68920f6fecae620b6f916b21b708663
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$74.74
Total PnL
$-303.87
Realised
$-1.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 48.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$33.22
$17.22
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.53
$8.53
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.95
$-2.55
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89 shares @ 11.2¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.69
$-0.31
- YES
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 10.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.35
$-2.94
- SCOTLAND
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)
75 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
70 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- YES
Lee Kangin: 1+ goals
62 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
55 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.56
- OVER
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
55 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNoni Madueke: 1+ assists$12.27Jun 23, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-2.5)$51.79Jun 23, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$29.38Jun 22, 19:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$14.29Jun 20, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$51.72Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$30.38Jun 19, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.61Jun 19, 03:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$29.97Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5$15.24Jun 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$25.42Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFerrán Torres: 1+ goals$19.26Jun 15, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $26.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.