Pointless-Alloy
0x36502287411481c8f543acb2a87aa3aa36fd4ad4
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-92.52
Realised
$-12.72
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 3?
309 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 3?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on May 3?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 3?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 3?
74 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 3?
50 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 21?
40 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 3?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 11?
37 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 12?$3.59May 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 12?$1.87May 12, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?$2.06May 12, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?$3.51May 11, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?$4.06May 11, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 11?$2.09May 11, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?$2.08May 11, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 11?$0.71May 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 11?$1.63May 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?$1.61May 11, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?$2.10May 11, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?$2.04May 11, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?$2.05May 11, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?$0.63May 11, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 11?$2.09May 10, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?$2.04May 10, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?$4.88May 10, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 10?$2.07May 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 10?$1.55May 10, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 10?$2.06May 10, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.