Vigorous-Finish
0x365c726cab629fc18536a5a6aca9a9c3fec1f855
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$167.03
Total PnL
$-86.40
Realised
$18.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
165 shares @ 89.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$154.04
$6.18
- YES
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
104 shares @ 7.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$12.99
$5.17
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
389 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-34.30
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
200 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.68
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
195 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-64.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$2.00Jul 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$2.40Jul 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$4.70Jun 20, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$4.60Jun 20, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$81.15Jun 19, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$44.89Jun 19, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$22.42Jun 19, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$17.68Jun 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$18.05Jun 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$44.61Jun 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$20.54Jun 17, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$9.35Jun 17, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.70Jun 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.49Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.91Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.15Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.70Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.48Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $33.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.