Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

1. 1

   Down 4pp over 24h

   Now 13¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 23527h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 12.9¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.