Expert-Migrant
0x365f564bf3f6deb555d3f1ed8451d51d3492d215
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$63.34
Total PnL
$-121.41
Realised
$-21.62
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
57 shares @ 74.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$55.68
$12.95
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$0.06
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.91
$0.15
- NO
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
213 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.64
- YES
Anduril IPO in 2025?
86 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- NO
Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
55 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
40 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
37 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.59
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
29 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?$4.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle Gemini Parlay$4.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.62May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Regina Hall be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?$27.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$29.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$55.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$92.66May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?$96.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$302.00May 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$1.1KMay 22, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$7.03Feb 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets finish with the best record in the NBA?$31.55Feb 8, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$4.00Jan 11, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?$7.00Jan 11, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$8.00Jan 11, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stew Peters be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?$8.39Jan 11, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$13.00Jan 11, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?$24.00Jan 11, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NFT #1990 win the Based trading competition?$26.00Jan 11, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $131.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.