Milky-Insulation
0x36628e3bfa6211e78868595b8b5e780a0d1eca07
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$368.51
Total PnL
$-319.38
Realised
$50.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 25.5¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$88.75
$24.93
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
418 shares @ 5.3¢·now 14.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$58.53
$36.44
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
419 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.21
$-10.48
- YES
Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
1679 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$39.46
$-7.30
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
300 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$37.50
$-7.50
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
309 shares @ 2.7¢·now 10.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$31.06
$22.67
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
247 shares @ 20.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.31
$-32.87
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
29 shares @ 30.0¢·now 35.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.44
$1.69
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.25
$-29.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$40.0533m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$46.767d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$4.108d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.8514d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.5014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$44.6814d ago
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$40.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$34.5217d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$0.4817d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?$58.6917d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$63.8217d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.0917d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$8.3917d ago
- REDEEMWill Pietro Sighel (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$0.0018d ago
- REDEEMWill Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.0018d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.0018d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$208.3318d ago
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$268.8021d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$75.0024d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $62.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 64d ago
- Last active
- 33m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.