Unused-Grasshopper
0x366875aa2506bef477963b49ebfe48e1e8e13a1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.07
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-365.29
Win rate
4%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.07
$-1.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KNICKS
Magic vs. Knicks
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?
95 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- HORNETS
Pistons vs. Hornets
73 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-44.47
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Hornets
61 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$1.43Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.71Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.03Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.80Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.19Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$2.81Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$2.32Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$2.40Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.35Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Timberwolves$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Nuggets$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-17?$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. 76ers$0.00Jul 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$0.00Jul 2, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Pelicans$0.00Jul 2, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.