Good-Natured-Collapse
0x366c6163b362b8ce52b1f6e5f2a6a0c7b8a571bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?
108 shares @ 88.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-95.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on May 28?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 27?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$0.80Jun 19, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Jun 19, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.09Jun 19, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Jun 19, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$17.01Jun 15, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$16.85Jun 15, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$2.95Jun 9, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?$2.50Jun 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$2.00Jun 9, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?$3.00Jun 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$0.05Jun 9, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$3.00Jun 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$1.20Jun 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.60Jun 8, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$5.76Jun 7, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.76Jun 6, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$4.00Jun 6, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14.69Jun 2, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.