Growing-Consensus
0x366ca527d1436aae117faf746f17098cf3f66578
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$37.00
Total PnL
$5.3K
Realised
$9.5K
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
12901 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
3942 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-429.14
- YES
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?
2365 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-740.62
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1302 shares @ 92.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?
1119 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-613.99
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
800 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-53.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$45.001h ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$82.0017h ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$81.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$73.001d ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$81.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$97.092d ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$84.373d ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$3.633d ago
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$300.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$399.983d ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$84.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$18.093d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$4.953d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$24.133d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$24.133d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$6.933d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$4.953d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$93.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$94.003d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $46.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 123d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".