Woeful-Conspirator
0x367595fe0e9cc60d494e91338b052fcf3910b7ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.68
Total PnL
$-2.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- ETERNAL PREMIUM
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-In
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- AUSTRIA
T20 European Cup: Austria vs Turkiye
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
2 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYT20 European Cup: Austria vs Turkiye$1.00Jul 25, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.01Jul 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Entropy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Play-In$1.01Jul 5, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$1.10Jun 25, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?$1.03Jun 25, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$1.01Jun 25, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$1.00May 31, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$1.01Apr 30, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Torino FC win on 2026-04-26?$1.02Apr 28, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC win on 2026-04-26?$1.00Apr 26, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?$1.40Apr 19, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?$1.00Apr 19, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLOeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Max Houkes$1.35Apr 18, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Max Houkes$1.00Apr 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Torpedo$1.21Apr 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Torpedo$1.00Apr 17, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$1.05Apr 17, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Lilmix (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B$1.04Apr 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.00Apr 4, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.