0x36935cff62f67aeaa5cac97f289ff65803ca3f75
0x36935cff62f67aeaa5cac97f289ff65803ca3f75
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$67.64
Total PnL
$4.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$12.14
$2.42
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.47
$2.29
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$11.35
$1.45
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 73.8¢·now 79.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.96
$0.82
- NO
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.84
$0.12
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.54
$-0.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.05
$1.28
- YES
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.30
$0.41
- YES
Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$2.03
$0.49
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.85
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?$1.56Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.92Jul 27, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?$1.80Jul 27, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$9.36Jul 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?$1.55Jul 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$4.70Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$2.62Jul 25, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$0.00Jul 25, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$17.81Jul 25, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$3.28Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 20 2026?$2.53Jul 24, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.03Jul 24, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.27Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?$4.80Jul 23, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$10.37Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$9.72Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$9.90Jul 22, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$2.75Jul 21, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.56Jul 21, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.