Fearful-Upward
0x36993eab0708486bf075a16ec6df9720b8dd5076
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.07
Total PnL
$-45.87
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.11
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?
1145 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.10 on February 7?
1121 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 9?
1098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 18?
1093 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
1092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on February 15?
1089 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?
1084 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 5?$2.15Jun 5, 01:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.64Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.33Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.12Jun 2, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.50May 31, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 27?$2.12May 27, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.26May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.24May 22, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?$1.1KMay 21, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?$1.1KMay 21, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $242.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".