Nervous-Hacksaw
0x36a4cbdb3905cfe675291bee570b4d579a5ed0b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$17.64
Total PnL
$-3.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?
3 shares @ 75.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?
1 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$1.00Feb 9, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?$1.00Jan 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpace FDV above $15M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 23, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Jan 7, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?$1.00Dec 26, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Dec 19, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?$1.00Dec 12, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 24, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Nov 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?$1.00Nov 7, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Oct 31, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 24, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Oct 17, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Napoli win on 2025-08-30?$1.28Oct 10, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 15+ times during his next video?$1.56Oct 10, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Sep 26, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 15+ times during his next video?$1.00Sep 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?$1.00Sep 8, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".