Ruddy-Fob
0x36a7e80b487b26eebce266da0640e33dd4651aea
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
86%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
297761 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$744.40
$80.10
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
240000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$360.00
$-566.88
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$225.00
$-388.50
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$220.00
$-44.48
- YES
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
140000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$210.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
125156 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$187.73
$-62.58
- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$175.00
$-194.95
- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
70000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$175.00
$-160.65
- YES
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
58304 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$145.76
$-164.01
- YES
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$140.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 29, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$30.00Jul 29, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.07Jul 29, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.34Jul 29, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.58Jul 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.07Jul 29, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Jul 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.42Jul 29, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
50 closed markets, 86% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.