Wide-Analytics
0x36a8dc5da7827539afd3f937836952e39eb210c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$31.75
Total PnL
$-427.74
Realised
$68.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 31.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$31.75
$21.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
2202 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-55.80
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?
1996 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
1713 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
1512 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?
1465 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
1257 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
813 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.42Jul 8, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$7.21Jun 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$9.26Jun 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$8.22Jun 16, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$20.52Jun 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$14.48May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.39May 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$10.72May 4, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$16.07May 4, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$1.43Mar 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$1.52Mar 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?$1.70Mar 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6.74Mar 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$10.00Mar 5, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$2.91Mar 3, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 2, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $13.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.